Hizbullah and the Third Lebanese War, few words that continue to irritate the Zionist entity’s political and military circles.
Hizbullah resistance manAccording to an estimate by the “Israeli” army’s Northern Command, “Hizbullah may implement its plan to invade northern “Israel” if a third Lebanon war breaks out.
In this context, “Israeli” sources talked about a change in Hizbullah’s policies, which Hizbullah Secretary General His Eminence Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah has defined as “breaking the silence.”
As “Israeli” sources retreated from talking of an immediate threat by Hizbullah to launch or a surprise ground invasion, but the concern that a single event – with casualties – may flare up and lead, in quick succession, to the outbreak of war on the northern front.
The “Israeli” officials believe that Sayyed Nasrallah’s declarations regarding an attempt to conquer the Galilee are far from credible; there is a growing concern that in the first few days of a war on the north, Hizbullah will deploy several companies to quickly raid “Israeli” communities located mere meters from the border – with each company staffed by 100 to 200 fighters from the group’s special forces.
“We would be deluding ourselves and the public if we claimed that this was impossible,” the “Israeli” officer said.
According to the “Israeli” estimates, Hizbullah has gathered the confidence necessary to attempt an invasion operation – as it managed with force on the border towns between Syrian and Lebanon, in al-Qusayr, Arsal, and the Qalamoun Mountains.
As opposed to its previous modus operandi, in which pointed attacks were carried out by small cells numbering less than a dozen people, the new “Israeli” estimates fear that operations would be wide-ranging and include a blitz by at least 100 fighters in order to hold an “Israeli” position for three to four hours.
The possibilities include the seizure of part of a town, a mountain ridge, or an “Israeli” outpost.
Such an attack could occur simultaneously in four positions along the border with “Israel”. The western-most incursion would invade through the sea with a special naval commando force. The possible attack would include anti-tank fire on “Israeli” forces in the area and suppressive fire from machine guns – to be preempted by a heavy barrage of large short-range rockets held by Hizbullah.
These rockets, which are not of the standard variety, carry warheads with 100 to 500 kilograms of explosives. The major benefits of their rockets are their massive destructive power and the difficulty for “Israel” in intercepting them.
According to “Israeli” officers, Hizbullah has decided to respond militarily to operations in Lebanon that it attributes to “Israel”, even if “Israel” might retaliate and another war would break out.
Officials at Northern Command have also noticed a change in Hizbullah’s tactics along the border. After keeping a low profile for years near the fence, Hizbullah operatives can now be seen more often, usually in civilian clothing alongside members of the Lebanese army. They often carry weapons and communications equipment.
“The group has been acting in a realistic and confident manner. When it decides that it needs to stop being silent over what it sees as Israeli aggression, it responds, even if that means putting itself at risk,” the officer said.
“We need to be cautious about claiming that Hizbullah has been deterred and will not respond. While it’s true that it has no interest in another war against “Israel”, under certain circumstances the region could ignite once again.”